Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.187697 0.209624 0.232379 0.257701 0.285036 0.313600 0.345646
2025-01-12 0.158116 0.187885 0.220164 0.257582 0.299572 0.345053 0.397848
2025-01-19 0.135192 0.169863 0.208951 0.255886 0.310306 0.371018 0.443456
2025-01-26 0.119041 0.157426 0.202249 0.257774 0.324002 0.399763 0.492249
2025-02-02 0.108855 0.150749 0.201229 0.265483 0.344000 0.435736 0.549871
2025-02-09 0.097345 0.141152 0.195589 0.266724 0.355670 0.461667 0.595882
2025-02-16 0.088499 0.133989 0.192163 0.270023 0.369410 0.489943 0.644928
2025-02-23 0.083431 0.131237 0.193926 0.279577 0.390847 0.527788 0.706138
2025-03-02 0.074546 0.122422 0.186984 0.277215 0.396682 0.546049 0.743237
2025-03-09 0.067638 0.115721 0.182290 0.277297 0.405291 0.567611 0.784518
2025-03-16 0.061055 0.108870 0.176834 0.275853 0.411522 0.585945 0.821740
2025-03-23 0.057235 0.105793 0.176390 0.281059 0.426512 0.615650 0.873787
2025-03-30 0.052202 0.100615 0.172860 0.282124 0.436393 0.639553 0.919769
2025-04-06 0.047517 0.095551 0.169125 0.282601 0.445320 0.662243 0.964485
2025-04-13 0.042837 0.090036 0.164306 0.281161 0.451354 0.681019 1.004230
2025-04-20 0.039486 0.086439 0.162152 0.283426 0.462508 0.706767 1.053528
2025-04-27 0.037777 0.085541 0.164130 0.291853 0.482566 0.744922 1.119968
2025-05-04 0.034769 0.082010 0.161636 0.293281 0.492423 0.769108 1.167821
2025-05-11 0.032448 0.079518 0.160642 0.296884 0.505419 0.797755 1.222049
2025-05-18 0.031530 0.079604 0.163901 0.307178 0.528448 0.840733 1.296424
2025-05-25 0.028465 0.075182 0.159239 0.304667 0.532222 0.856546 1.333515
2025-06-01 0.026103 0.071913 0.156332 0.304771 0.539805 0.877755 1.378237
2025-06-08 0.023701 0.068293 0.152556 0.303230 0.544729 0.895112 1.417692